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Gold prices in Egypt fell by 185 Egyptian pounds last week, coinciding with a $4.41 drop in the price of an ounce of gold on the global market. The decline, a decrease of approximately 51%, was attributed to price volatility and profit-taking, according to a report by the online gold and jewelry trading platform iSagha. Saeed Embaby, CEO of the platform, stated that the price of a gram of 21-karat gold opened at 6,075 Egyptian pounds before falling to 5,890 pounds by the end of the week. Globally, gold prices dropped by approximately $201 per ounce, opening at $4,533 and closing at $4,332, after reaching a record high of $4,555 per ounce. Embaby explained that a gram of 24-karat gold was priced at approximately 6,731 Egyptian pounds, while a gram of 18-karat gold reached around 5,049 pounds, and a gold sovereign coin was valued at approximately 47,120 pounds. Markets are expected to experience significant movements when trading resumes tomorrow, amid escalating tensions between the United States and Venezuela, following reports of military escalation and political and security unrest in Caracas. Looking ahead, Goldman Sachs' commodities team presented one of the most optimistic scenarios, predicting that gold will reach $4,900 per ounce by the end of 2026, supported by strong purchases from central banks estimated at around 70 tons per month, along with a potential US interest rate cut that would boost demand for gold funds. In contrast, JPMorgan anticipates a more aggressive rise, projecting gold to reach around $5,055 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2026. Conversely, Goldman Sachs expects continued pressure on oil prices, estimating Brent crude at an average price of $56 per barrel, given the global supply glut and OPEC's reluctance to drastically reduce production unless significant geopolitical shocks occur. This disparity between the strength of gold and the weakness of oil reflects the scale of anticipated macroeconomic risks in 2026, particularly those related to inflation and energy market shifts. Analysts at Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan believe that the trajectory of US interest rates will remain the decisive factor in asset performance next year, with yields expected to decline in the first half of 2026 before stabilizing later as inflation data stabilizes.


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